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Table 1 Cumulative risk of CIN2 + and CIN3 + stratified by age or cytology among HPV-positive women at baseline after 3-year follow-up a

From: Age-specific 3-year risk of cervical precancer among HPV-positive women attending screening: a post hoc analysis from a retrospective cohort

 

Total (N)

 

CIN2+

 

CIN3+

Cases (n)

Risk (95% CI), %

Cases (n)

Risk (95% CI), %

HC2 positive

      

Age (years)

25–29

12

5

41.67 (19.33–68.05)

3

25 (8.89–53.23)

30–39

90

25

27.78 (19.58–37.8)

16

17.78 (11.25–26.95)

40–49

212

56

26.42 (20.94–32.74)

30

14.15 (10.09–19.48)

50–59

194

31

15.98 (11.49–21.79)

16

8.25 (5.14–12.98)

60–71

50

9

18 (9.77–30.8)

6

12 (5.62–23.8)

Cytology

NILM

406

62

15.27 (12.1-19.09)

33

8.13 (5.85–11.2)

Low-gradeb

94

21

22.34 (15.1-31.75)

7

7.45 (3.66–14.59)

High-gradec

58

43

74.14 (61.62–83.66)

31

53.45 (40.8-65.67)

DH3-HPVdpositive

    

Age (years)

25–29

14

5

35.71 (16.34–61.23)

3

21.43 (7.57–47.59)

30–39

93

25

26.88 (18.92–36.67)

16

17.2 (10.87–26.13)

40–49

215

57

26.51 (21.06–32.78)

30

13.95 (9.95–19.22)

50–59

207

31

14.98 (10.76–20.48)

16

7.73 (4.81–12.19)

60–71

54

9

16.67 (9.03–28.74)

6

11.11 (5.19–22.19)

Cytology

NILM

430

63

14.65 (11.62–18.31)

33

7.67 (5.51–10.58)

Low-gradeb

94

21

22.34 (15.1-31.75)

7

7.45 (3.66–14.59)

High-gradec

59

43

72.88 (60.4-82.56)

31

52.54 (40.04–64.73)

HPV16/18 positive

    

Age (years)

25–29

5

4

80 (37.5-96.38)

3

60 (23.07–88.24)

30–39

24

11

45.83 (27.89–64.92)

6

25 (12-44.9)

40–49

50

26

52 (38.51–65.2)

15

30 (19.1-43.75)

50–59

39

14

35.9 (2.74–51.58)

8

20.51 (10.78–35.53)

60–71

15

4

26.67 (10.9-51.95)

2

13.33 (3.73–37.88)

Cytology

NILM

85

 

26

30.59 (21.81–41.05)

 

14

16.47 ()10.07–25.77

Low-gradeb

22

 

11

50 (30.72–69.28)

 

2

9.09 (2.53–27.81)

High-gradec

26

 

22

84.62 (66.47–93.85)

 

18

69.23 (50.01–83.5)

Other hrHPVepositive

      

Age (years)

25–29

9

1

11.11 (1.99–43.5)

0

0 (0-29.91)

30–39

69

14

20.29 (12.49–31.22)

10

14.49 (8.07–24.66)

40–49

165

31

18.79 (13.57–25.43)

15

9.09 (5.59–14.46)

50–59

168

17

10.12 (6.41–15.61)

8

4.76 (2.43–9.11)

60–71

39

5

12.82 (5.6-26.71)

4

10.26 (4.06–23.58)

Cytology

NILM

345

 

37

10.72 (7.88–14.43)

 

19

5.51 (3.56–8.44)

Low-gradeb

72

 

10

13.89 (7.72–23.71)

 

5

6.94 (3-15.24)

High-gradec

33

 

21

63.64 (46.62–77.82)

 

13

39.39 (24.68–56.31)

  1. CIN, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; CI, confidence interval; CIN2+, CIN grade 2 or worse; CIN3+, CIN grade 3 or worse; NILM, negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy
  2. a A total of 5840 women completed follow-up. Among them, 558 were positive for HC2 assay and 583 were positive for DH3-HPV at baseline
  3. b Low-grade includes ASC‐US (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance) and LSIL (low‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesions)
  4. c High-grade includes ASC‐H (atypical squamous cells‐cannot exclude high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion), AGC (atypical glandular cells), HSIL (high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesions), and SCC (squamous cell carcinoma)
  5. d Includes HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, 66, and 68
  6. e Includes HPV types 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, 66, and 68